SignalSync S&P 500 chart-pattern signals

Scan 2026-09-18 05:56 UTC · prices through 2026-09-17 · 503 of 503 S&P 500 stocks
Bull trendSPY +6.8 % vs its 200-day averageVIX 15.453% of stocks above their 200-day average

Today: 0 buy signals · 5 stocks watched · 4 open trades · closed trades: 0 won, 3 lost.

1Buy signals now0

No buy signal today. Nothing to do. The stocks being watched are in section 2; one becomes a signal only after a daily close above its trigger.

2Why these stocks

No stock to explain today: there is no buy signal.

Watching, not a signal yet5

These patterns are complete but the stock has not closed above its trigger. Do nothing; a stock moves up to section 1 the day it does. Cup & Handle is watch-only: over ten years only 18 % of its breakouts reached their target, so its rows are listed here for information and never become a buy signal, even after they break out.

StockPatternNeeds a close aboveLast closeDistanceStop loss if it triggersTake profit if it triggers
MOInverse Head & Shoulders70.1369.70+0.6 %66.0075.93
GILDCup & Handle
watch-only
150.89
broke out in the last session: watch-only
150.89141.89182.66
EBAYDouble Bottom117.77112.90+4.3 %105.39130.98
RTXCup & Handle
watch-only
199.75193.54+3.2 %188.25233.50
ECHODouble Bottom94.9594.08+0.9 %83.50107.42
Their charts and pattern anchors

Left the page since the previous scan: HAL (fell away from its trigger), FCX (pattern no longer valid).

3Open trades

Every signal, bought at the open after its report, until it is resolved. Sell if a day closes at or below the stop loss; take profit at the target. A trade moves to section 4 the morning after its low touches the stop, its high touches the target, or 60 sessions pass. The bar shows where the last close (blue) stands between the stop loss (red) and the take profit (green); the tick is the buy price.

StockPatternBought atStop lossTake profitLast closeGain / lossWhere it standsDays held
HALInverse Head & Shoulders37.57
2026-09-03
32.6442.6834.03
2026-09-17
-9.4 %32.6442.6810
VZInverse Head & Shoulders50.55
2026-09-04
44.7260.5448.33
2026-09-17
-4.4 %44.7260.549
TXNBullish Wolfe Wave260.93
2026-09-08
252.94312.19258.14
2026-09-17
-1.1 %252.94312.198
MOInverse Head & Shoulders69.84
2026-09-17
66.0075.9069.70
2026-09-17
-0.2 %66.0075.901

4Closed trades: were we right?

3 closed trades since 2026-09-02: 0 took profit, 3 stopped out. Average result on the closed ones: -4.3 %.

SignalStockPatternBought atStop lossTake profitResultGain / loss
2026-09-02BIIBCup & Handle225.44212.24256.36Loss
Stopped out at 212.24 on 2026-09-08
-5.9 %
2026-09-02CLBullish Wolfe Wave90.0488.67107.98Loss
Stopped out at 88.67 on 2026-09-04
-1.5 %
2026-09-02VRTXCup & Handle559.00528.86625.42Loss
Stopped out at 528.86 on 2026-09-08
-5.4 %

Counted the same way as the eleven-year replay: bought at the next open after the first report, not bought when that open was above the buy limit or below the stop, take profit and stop loss as touched during the day. For scale, the replay made +0.22 R per signal on 1632 signals with 35% reaching their target, positive in ten of eleven years; drawdowns of 36 to 41 R inside four of them. A live sample this small says little either way.

In units of risk (R), for the curious

Hit rate 0% on 3 resolved, mean -0.64 R, total -4.48 R over the horizon of 60 sessions. One R is the distance from the buy price to the stop loss.

-4.48 R
SignalStockSessions listedBought atExitSessions heldR
2026-09-02BIIB2225.44212.243-1.00
2026-09-02CL290.0488.672-1.00
2026-09-02HAL637.5734.0310-0.72
2026-09-02VRTX2559.00528.863-1.00
2026-09-03VZ150.5548.339-0.38
2026-09-04TXN1260.93258.148-0.35
2026-09-16MO169.8469.701-0.04

How to read this page

Buy at the open, up to
The trade happens at the next market open. The upper number is the most you should pay: the lower of trigger + 5 % and the price at which the risk to the stop reaches 1.5 times the planned one. If the stock opens above it, the signal no longer applies.
Stop loss
The pattern's structural low (handle low, right-shoulder low, point 5) minus a quarter of the average daily range. Selling on a daily close at or below it did better in the replay than selling the moment it is touched.
Take profit
The pattern's measured move: the height of the pattern added to the trigger.
Score
0 to 100, how clean the geometry is. Rows below 60 are not reported.
Day on the list
Sessions since the row was first reported. In eleven years of history a row on its second day was as good as new; from the third day the same signals paid about 0.1 R less than on day 1; from day 7 (a Wolfe from day 6) nothing was left, so the scanner retires a row after its sixth session, a Wolfe after its fifth.
Fear and greed
The stock's own reading at the last close, 0 to 100, averaging RSI 14, the MACD histogram's percentile over the past year and Bollinger %B. Above 80 the stock is stretched, and such breakouts did worst in the replay; below 20 it is washed out. Information, not a rule.
Watch-only pattern
A pattern the scanner detects and lists but never turns into a buy signal, because its breakouts did not pay over ten years of history: the cup and handle, 18 % of whose breakouts reached their target for +0.03 R per signal (#109).
R
One unit of risk: the distance from the buy price to the stop loss. A stop-out is −1 R; a take-profit at twice that distance is +2 R. It lets signals with different prices be added up.
Result
Every signal is counted once, at its first report, bought at the next open. Not bought when that open was above the buy limit or below the stop. Take profit and stop loss count as touched during the day (a day touching both counts as a stop). After 60 sessions a position still open is closed at that day's close (time limit).

What the same rules did over eleven years

eleven yearly replays on the index as it was, 2016 to 2026, tuned profile, runs 34323013559 to 34323039560 (2026-09-09). Index membership as it was at the time; what remains of the survivorship bias is the symbols that no longer trade.

PatternSignalsReached targetMean R
Inverse Head & Shoulders109739%+0.23
Cup & Handle30518%+0.03
Bullish Wolfe Wave23036%+0.43
Double Bottom21558%+0.13
Day on the listSignalsMean RSame signals, vs day 1
11632+0.22
21111+0.28-0.01
3952+0.22-0.09
4 to 51479+0.19-0.12
6 to 91169+0.14-0.12